My UFC Fights for The Troops Preview and Predictions

Josh Koscheck vs. Yoshiyuki Yoshida

Koscheck is the obvious favorite here, but there has been a lot of drama in his life recently. Koscheck is coming off of a loss to Thiago Silva at UFC 90.  Also, there is all the drama that has been going on at AKA.  Koscheck apparently is right in the middle and will not sign the agreement.  Franklin McNeil, on MMA Live, speculated that this could be Koscheck’s last UFC fight win or loose.  I don’t know about that, but I do know he may have some distractions.  That has to affect him.  If it wasn’t for that I would clearly pick Kos to win.  Yoshida may be a good pick for some of our risky betters out there.  Yoshida is a well roudned fighter who looked very good against War Machine in his debut.  Yoshida is a solid judoka with well rounded MMA skills.  Koscheck is a wretler first, but has much improved striking skills.  Which Koscheck will we see?  There is a part of me which wants to pick Yoshida to win this fight, and he very well could, but the safe pick is still Koscheck.  I will pick Koscheck to win by unaimous decision.

Mike Swick vs. Jonathan Goulet

Goulet has looked better lately than he had before.  However, his lasts two wins came over Kuniyoshi Hironaka and Paul Georgieff.  He has a career 4-3 record in the UFC.  Goulet is a decent fighter who can be very aggressive, however Mike Swick is a legit top ten welterweight and could climb higher.  I do not expect Swick to fall of the horse against Goulet.  When it comes down to it I think Swick is better all around and I think he will take this fight by TKO in round 2.

 Matt Wiman vs. Jim Miller

The original fight was slated to be Wiman vs. Frank Edgar, however last week Edgar was forced to withdraw due to an injury.  Jim Miller is a solid replacement that many feel could really climb into elite status in the UFC.  Miller is a gamer.  He steps in on little notice against a very good opponent in Matt Wiman.  A lot of people forget that Wiman is 4-0 since coming off of The Ultimate Fighter Season 5.  Guys like Maynard, Diaz, and Lauzon have gotten all the attention from that season of TUF, but Wiman is right there with them.  This is a tough fight to pick.  Miller ought to have better wrestling and better jiu jitsu than Wiman.  Whereas Wiman ought to have better striking skills.  When it comes down to it one of the questions would have to be Miller’s cardio in stepping in near last minute.  Will it be a factor?  I see this as a tough fight between two guys climbing the ladder at 155.  In the end I think Miller wins it by decision.  However, watch for the submission and watch Wiman’s hands.

Steve Cantwell vs. Razak Al-Hussan

Cantwell is young and very underrated.  He was not expected to beat Stann in their second fight, but I have to believe that Cantwell got on the radar with his win over Stann.  Cantwell has great striking skills.  Cantwell appears to be fairly versatile as a fighter.  I have a feeling that this fight will stay standing and that Cantwell will win by TKO in round 1.

Nate Loughran vs. Tim Credeur

Nate Loughran is 1-0 in the UFC, with his win coming over Johnny Rees.  Loughran also boasts a 9-0 career record.  However, he is stepping in against a solid veteran in Tim Credeur.  Credeur did very will on the Ultimate Fighter 7, loosing twice in the semi-finals to Jesse Taylor and C.B. Dolloway.  Credeur is best known for his very good ground skills.  Loughran also has some ground skills, 8 of his 9 wins have come by way of submission.  I look for this fight to eventually hit the ground and to become very technical.   I look for Credeur to win by submission in round 2.

Luigi Fiorvanti vs. Brodie Farber

The military fans love Luigi Fiorvanti, the ex-marine.  Fiorvanti is coming off of a disappointing loss to Diego Sanchez.  Farber is also coming off of a heartbreaking loss to Rory Markham.  It appeared Farber was about to finish Markham off when Markham landed a head kick that KO’d Farber is highlight reel fashion.  I think Fraber is a solid fighter.  The loser of this fight very well could be out of the UFC.   I really think that Luigi will come pumped and ready to win for the fans at this one.  That is why I think that Fiorvanti wins this win by TKO in round 2.

Steve Bruno vs. Johnny Rees

Steve Bruno, who trains out of American Top Team is 0-1 in the UFC, with his loss coming to Chris Wilson.  Rees is also 0-1 in the UFC losing his bout to Nate Loughran.  This is another bout of the loser leaves the UFC.  Therefore, I pick Steve Bruno to win by decision.

Eddie Sanchez vs. Justin McCully

Sanchez will want this fight to stay standing.  McCully may just want to stand and trade as well.  If it stays on its feet I really expect Sanchez to pull out a win by KO or TKO and that is what I think will happen. 

Ben Saunders vs. Brandon Wolff

Wolff is a highly regarded fighter.  Saunder is a solid fighter and TUF 6 alum.  These guys could really go at it on Wednesday.  In the end I pick Wolff to win by decision.

Corey Hill vs. Dale Hartt

Corey Hill was expected to be a very good fighter and that is why the UFC has kept him around despite his inexperience.  He has no ground game, but he does have great Muay Thai.  The loser of this fight will be sent packing from the UFC.   I think Hill’s size will be the difference.  Corey Hill by TKO in round 1. 


My UFC 87: Seek and Destroy Predictions

Georges St. Pierre vs. Jon Fitch

As I have said before there are certain guys that it isn’t smart to pick against.  St. Pierre is one of those right now.  There is no doubt that he is the favorite in this fight.  However, do not count out Jon Fitch.  Fitch is no doubt the number 2 welterweight in the world and a loss to St. Pierre may not even change that.  St. Pierre has readily admitted that Fitch is his best opponent to date.  The question with St. Pierre has always been the mental side of things.  Georges seems to be focused and ready.  He has been training hard and will be ready for Fitch.  I think St. Pierre is too well rounded and too strong for Fitch.  I think the fight could go a while and could be very technical.  It is possible that Fitch could catch Georges in some type of submission.  The worry I have in picking St. Pierre is that the UFC has virtually assured us that a St. Pierre win would merit a fight with B.J. Penn and year’s end.  Fitch wants to play spoiler.  I think Georges will be focused and will win by ref stoppage in round 3.

Brock Lesnar vs. Heath Herring

I respect Lesnar and here’s why.  He came into the UFC relativley inexperienced in mixed martial arts and he debuts against one of the world’s best in Frank Mir.  Then he agrees to fight hall of famer Mark Coleman.  That didn’t pan out and then he agrees to fight a veteran in Heath Herring.  I think Lesnar may have been better suited to get a win or two under his belt before fighting the top fighters.  However, he is game.  I know he is 0-1 in the UFC and Herring is a proven fighter, however in his loss Lesnar showed he is for real.  He has awesome wrestling and he can pack a punch.  Herring is a different opponent stylisiticlly than Mir was.  Herring can win by submission, but he is not the jiu jitsu threat that Mir was.  If Lesnar gets this down he will ground and pound Herring.  If it stays up the question will be can Lesnar take a hit and how crisp is his boxing and striking.  Herring has been in there with the best of the best in MMA.  He is no slouch.  Many people may pick Herring.  I am sure the UFC is pulling for Lesnar.  He is a gold mine and he needs a win.  He is in his hometown and he is prepared.  Herring is apparently re-focused and a changed fighter from what he has been.  I still have to pick the stronger, bigger, more athletic Brock Lesnar is this one.  I could be wrong, but I am picking him anyways and say he wins by TKO in round 2. 

Roger Huerta vs. Kenny Florian 

Fight of the night right here.  One thing you can count on is that Huerta and Florian always put on a good show.  They are unquestionably the top contenders now in the UFC’s lightweight divison. I do not know if they are Stevenson are Sherk good, but they deserve the shot to fight for the title shot.  I do not know when they will get the title shot, but the winner will get one.  In other words, someone on this card is going to fight B.J. Penn before year’s end.  White would like to see Penn fight the winner of this bout and then admit that B.J. has cleaned out the divison.  Anyways, this fight will be great.  Huerta is no doubt a solid fighter, but I do not know if he is Florian level.  Kenny has beaten some great guys.  Don’t forget Huerta was getting beat up by Guida before he pulled out a come from behind win.  I know a win is a win.  Standing up I give the edge to Florian.  Jiu jitsu I give the edge to Florian.  These two fighters are close in talent, but I think Florian is all around more talented.   I pick Kenny Florian to rain down elbows and open up Huerta and eventually end the fight early in round 3.

Cheick Kongo vs. Dan Evensen

This undercard fight features a heavyweight that beat up Mirko Cro Cop.  I looked up Evensen’s fight record and he seemd to be a fair fighter.  His only losses have come to Christian Wellish and Dan Bobbish.  I am sorry to say that Evensen is not the fighter that Kongo is, or seems to be.  Kongo is big and strong.  I think Kongo wins this fight by unanimous decision.

Demian Maia vs. Jason MacDonald

Demian Maia has some of the best jiu jitsu in the UFC.  The winner of this fight is looking to climb into contention in the middleweight divison and could be considered a top 5 guy with a solid win.  Jason MacDonald has tons of talent and he could easily KO Maia.  However, I think if this fight gets to the ground it won’t last long.  Maia doesn’t want to mess around.  Demian’s performance against Ed Herman at UFC 83 was impressive.  I forsee something similar here.  I pick Maia to win this by submission in round 1.

Steven Bruno vs. Chris Wilson

I believe Chris Wilson is underrated in the welterweight divison.  He looked very good against Jon Fitch.  Wilson has fought against much better guys in his career than Bruno and I would have to think that will help him.  I predict that Wilson wins this fight by decision.

Andre Gusmao vs. Jon Jones

I don’t know a think about Jones except that he is a last minute replacement. This is a huge chance for the undefeated Jones.  He is facing a veryy highly touted Andre Gusmao.  Gusmao is also 5-0, but he is highly favored here.  We will see if Gusmao is as agood as some say he is.  I think Gusmao will win by KO in round 1.

Manny Gamburyan vs. Rob Emerson

Why in the world this fight is on the main card is beyond me.  There are at least 3 fights better deserving of that than this one.  I’d rather see the Gusmao vs. Jones fight or the Wilson vs. Bruso fight or even the Kongo vs. Evensen fight than this.  I have said before I do not like Emerson.  He is a punk.  I can’t get over his gang and him beating up innocent people.  He is a loser.  I hope Gamburyan hurts him bad.  I think Manny is a very good fighter and will have no problem with Emerson.  I hope Emerson’s ticket is punched out of the UFC.  I pick Manny to win by submission in round 1. 

Luke Cummo vs. Tamdan McCrory

McRrory hasn’t fought since his loss to Akihiro Gono in November ’07.  McRrory is very talented and is good on the ground.  Cummo has a sub par record with really struggling against premiere talent.  I think McCrory pulls this one out with a submission in round 2.

Ben Saunders vs. Ryan Thomas

I don’t know anything about Thomas, but I think Saunders pulls this one out.  Saunders willbve ready for this.  Thomas is a late replacement for Jared Rollins.  I pick Saunders to win by unanimous deicison

Fight of the Night Prediction: Roger Huerta vs. Kenny Florian

Submission of the Night Prediction: Demiam Maia

KO of the Night Prediction: Andre Gusmao

Upset Watch: Herring over Lesnar, McDonald over Maia